Welcome back, loyal readers! I may be getting on your nerves, but as long as you like reading the content, I’m all for it, as the majority of the players I have written about and talked about this year have panned out so far. So with that, we take you to another week of this Stock Market article, that you seem to enjoy so much.
We’ll start off with Jon Jay, a real five-tool player who makes amazing diving catches but, as we know, that isn’t important in fantasy. What is important, however, is the fact that he has collected a hit in all but three games he’s played in. In those games, six of them have been multi-hit games. He has a .379 average on the year to go along with two homeruns and three stolen bases. He should have the job in St Louis locked up for the time being with a performance like that.
Next, we’ll look at a blind comparison for two third basemen:
Player A: .287 Average/5 HRs/14 RBI/18 R/ 3 SBs. Owned in 100% of ESPN leagues. ADP on ESPN: 59.8.
Player B: .298 Average/4 HRs/ 20 RBI/ 12 R/ 4 SBs. Owned in 36.3% of ESPN leagues. ADP on ESPN: 260.0.
While Player A, Alex Rodriguez, has, by far, a much better track-record, he is also much more injury-prone, playing no more than 138 games in each of the past four seasons. There’s no doubt in anyone’s mind that, regardless of the off-the-field drama, he is a first-ballot hall of famer, but remember that he is on the Yankees, so he will be overvalued. Sell high on him while he’s performing well and before he gets injured.
Player B is a very good, underrated player, that is only owned in very few leagues because of the small-market team he is on. That small-market team is Seattle, where if your name isn’t Ichiro or Felix Hernandez, you are overlooked, which happens to be the case for Kyle Seager, a 24-year-old third -sacker. He deserves to be on your roster with the numbers you looked at above. Whether he is a corner infielder on your team, or a bench player, he needs to be rostered in your league, if he isn’t already. He has made a very strong case for himself.
This next player has been opposite of the other three, meaning he has been terrible as of late. This player would be J.D. Martinez, who has collected just two hits in 33 at-bats in the last 11 games. Needless to say, he hasn’t scored a run, and he has driven in just one batter in that timeframe. He’s in what we call the ‘sophomore slump’, so if you can buy low on him in dynasty and keeper leagues, do so, as he is much better than this. Believe me when I say that, as I watch every game of his, as I live in Houston. He’s pressing too much, and just needs to change his approach up there, and Manager Brad Mills has noticed that, and taken him aside. Hopefully he can get this turned around this year, so we won’t have to wait until next year.
It’s time for the Closer Corner again - Chris Sale‘s elbow is fine, and he will be moved back into the rotation, meaning that Addison Reed is the most likely candidate to close, according to @MLBDepthCharts’ Christian Martinez. Another closer who is out of a job is former Reds’ closer, Francisco Cordero, who blew all of the last three save opportunities and gave up eight earned runs in the last four relief appearances. Casey Janssen seems to hold the closer job at the moment in Toronto. I realize that this isn’t a closer move, but it does involve the bullpen change that has occurred in Minnesota, where former #1 starter Francisco Liriano has been moved to the bullpen after posting a 9.45 ERA and 21:19 K:BB ratio this season. Scott Diamond, who went 7.0 innings while striking out six, and allowing just four hits and walking one against the Angels, has appeared to replace him in the Rotation. Diamond could be worth a look in deeper leagues. Dale Thayer seems to have the closing job for the time being, with Huston Street on the DL. Thayer’s K:BB ratio is INF, with no walks so far. He won’t strike too many out but, being in Petco Park, he won’t need to. Thayer remains perfect in terms of earned runs this year and has only allowed four hits in six innings, for a 0.67 WHIP. Could he potentially be the closer forever?
3-2 record with 2.10 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP. Not to mention 25 strikeouts in six starts. Ross Detwiler is not this good. Yes he is hitting his prime and yes he is improving every year but he doesn’t have the talent to continually post these numbers. He is a sell-high candidate, as his FB% is 37.1%, 3.71 xFIP and 2.78 K/BB. Sell him now while you can get a decent offer, before his value plummets. He’s not good.
Max Scherzer has been very inconsistent this year, with outings of: 2.2 IP/8 H/7 ERs, 5 IP/10 H/5ER, and 4.2 IP/7 H/3 ER/ 7 BB. In the other games, he has a combined nine earned runs in 25.1 innings, to go along with 32 Ks. In those four good outings, he was rewarded with a quality start, making him a buy-low candidate if there is a disgruntled owner.