It’s hard to believe that we are already past week 10 and are now steaming toward week 11 of the NFL season. Some teams are fading fast while others are just counting down the days until they can clinch their division. Some teams have fired head coaches already and others are getting ready to sign their front man to a new extension. And in a season that has had its ups and downs, its highs and lows, two things have remained consistent. One is that the NFL has been downright great yet again. We have the surprises (Sidney Rice) and the busts (Matt Forte), the stories of heart (Michael Oher), and the stories of prima donnas (don’t even get me started). The other consistency is exactly what you’re reading, the Fantasy Football Roundtable. We love sitting down and bringing you our sleepers and busts each week to hopefully help lead your team to victory and even though fantasy playoffs are fast approaching, we’re still ready to help keep that undefeated team of yours with a spotless record and if you haven’t won a game yet, we want to help propel you to that W column. Without further ado, here are this week’s sleepers and busts from some of the best fantasy football minds on the web.
Three Sleepers
Greg Dietz, Right Here
Mark Clayton, WR, Baltimore Ravens: The Ravens haven’t quite had the best go at it lately. After starting the season with a sizzle, the team has kind of flared out the past couple of weeks barely showing signs of life through most of Monday night’s tilt with Cleveland. While their matchup this week against the Colts isn’t exactly ideal, the situation in Indy’s defensive backfield is a very favorable one. With Kelvin Hayden, Marlin Jackson, and Bob Sanders all on the shelf, Tom Brady was able to rip apart that defense last week and while Flacco is not Brady, he will have plenty of opportunities to make big plays downfield. Clayton is a consistent underperformer, but could provide big value to an owner in need of an emergency start on Sunday.
Detroit Lions D/ST: It’s typically not my style to hype up a defense and special teams unit especially if it’s the Lions of all teams. However, let’s take a minute to think about this. This isn’t really as much of a tip of the cap to the Lions defense though. It’s more of an acknowledgment of the fact that the Browns just cannot find the endzone on a regular basis. At this juncture of the fantasy football season, many an owner are playing their defense week-to-week and if that’s the case for you, then the Lions wouldn’t be your worst option in week 11. Disregard the fact that Detroit has given up the most passing yards of any defense all year; they are facing Brady Quinn. Any defense facing the Browns is worth a pickup in a league and the Lions are no different.
Laveranues Coles, WR, Cincinnati Bengals: Coles hasn’t been the best complement to Chad Ochocinco this season and surely hasn’t taken over where TJ Houshmandzadeh left off. However, Coles has had 11 catches in his last two games for 139 yards which is good for almost half of his total catches this year and almost half of his yards. The reason? Chris Henry is now on IR and Carson Palmer has no choice but to get Coles the ball more. This week the Bengals take on the Raiders and that promises to be a promising matchup for Palmer and the entire offense, Coles included. He should be available in most leagues and is definitely worth a start if you need a receiver.
Three Busts
Chet Gresham – http://football.razzball.com
Frank Gore, San Francisco 49ers: The Packers have been playing strong defense all around, especially against the run. They have given up two touchdowns on the ground, and both of those were to Purple Jesus which don’t really count. Frank Gore is a beast, but I expect a down game for him, which of course could be a good game for any of your run of the mill schmos.
Ryan Grant, Green Bay Packers: On the other side of the field the 49ers run defense is also pretty strong. They aren’t unbeatable, but they are tough. They went into Minnesota and held Purple Jesus under 10 fantasy points which is good and slightly sacrilegious. Patrick Willis will keep an eye on Mr. Grant.
Miles Austin, Dallas Cowboys: Defenses would rather Roy Williams beat them that Austin. Washington’s pass defense is good except when the leave Brandon Marshall wide open, but yes, on the average they are good. I see Austin having a tough game.
Quarterbacks
Jason Sarney – http://www.fantasyphenoms.com
Sleeper: Vince Young, Tennessee Titans – I’m a believer now, and with a soft match-up against Houston, I would feel very comfortable starting Young in Week 11. If you aren’t happy with your regular starter’s defensive match-up, Young has had success against Houston, and he knows a thing or two about playing in Texas. If you are gutsy enough to roll with Young on Monday night, think mid-two hundred yards passing, a couple of points with rushing yards and a pair of TDs either through the air or on foot. His done that before against the Texans, and I have a feeling he’ll do it again. Maybe even better this time around.
Bust: David Garrard, Jacksonville Jaguars – Usually in these types of pieces I have Garrard as the sleeper, especially staring at a Buffalo Bills match-up. Although a lousy 3-6, and dealing with the mid-season firing of Dick Jauron this week, the Bills have a solid pass defense ranked in the top-10 in the NFL in yards allowed per game, and are second only to the Saints in interceptions with 16. This can be a ground control, running game in Jacksonville and I don’t see a lot of fireworks through the air for Garrard in Week 11. Bench him this week, and go with Vince Young.
Running backs
Matt Schauf – http://www.rapiddraft.com
Sleeper: Jason Snelling, Atlanta Falcons – One can only assume that the Giants spent at least some of the bye trying to figure out their run defense. Although the Chargers didn’t get a running back into the end zone in Week 9, the previous three opponents each saw at least two different backs score. With Michael Turner out, Jerious Norwood iffy and Aaron Stecker still Aaron Stecker, there’s no doubting who has the best chance of running one in for the Falcons this week. The Falcons have gotten at least one score from a running back in every game this season, and Snelling has gone in rushing and receiving. Even with Matt Ryan’s recent struggles, the Carolina game was the first time since Week 3 that they failed to reach 20 points. The team will score, and Snelling will likely be the beneficiary.
Bust: Jamaal Charles, Kansas City Chiefs – Charles finally emerged last week as the primary rusher for the Chiefs, and he has the kind of speed that can create opportunities even in tough matchups. Don’t bet on it happening this weekend, though. Here’s the list of running backs who have scored against Pittsburgh this season: Cedric Benson, Adrian Peterson, Lawrence Vickers (1-yard pass). The list of players who have carried more than five times against the Steelers this year and averaged at least 4 yards is even shorter: Benson, in the first meeting only. Even if you look to receptions, just two opposing backs have caught more than three passes against Pittsburgh. There’s no way to view this as a decent matchup. Keep Charles around for later, but look elsewhere this week.
Wide Receivers
Bryan Fontaine – http://www.rookieblitz.com
Sleeper: Hakeem Nicks, New York Giants – Hakeem Nicks faces a juicy match up against the struggling Falcons as the Giants return to action from their bye week. The Falcons pass defense is ranked 28th in the NFL and they recently made Jake Delhomme look like a viable starting QB again and Steve Smith got his season back on track. Nicks has become a vital part of the Giants passing attack with the disappearance of Hixon and the Mario Manningham struggling with minor injuries. Nicks is a good bet to break off a big play and find the end zone in this contest. He makes a great swing for the fences option if you start him a flex player or WR3 in Week 11.
Bust: Miles Austin, Dallas – Miles Austin has struggled as the top wide receiver for the Cowboys the past several weeks. He was completely shut out against the Eagles before his game-winning TD catch in the 4th quarter. Last week the Packers double-covered Austin all day and he only got going in the 4th Quarter with 4 receptions for 20 yards against their prevent defense. Austin has the talent to become a #1 WR eventually, but he must learn how to handle being the focus of the opposing defenses each week. Austin faces another tough match up against Washington in Week 11 as the Redskins own the top pass defense in the NFL allowing only 162.7 passing yards per game. The Redskins will again double cover Austin and shadow Jason Witten with a linebacker limiting the Cowboys passing attack. Temper expectations this week with Austin, he should only be used as a low-end WR3 or flex option.
Tight Ends
Ginny Loveless – http://www.footballdiehards.com
Sleeper: James Casey, Houston – Whether this is the week, James Casey is going to be a big part of the Houston offense going forward. Don’t take my word for it, Coach Gary Kubiak is quoted as saying that Casey will “become a big part of what we’re doing over the next seven games.” Owen Daniels was leading all tight ends in targets, and Casey is coming off of a year at Rice where he caught 111 passes, had 12 receiving touchdowns, ran for 6 touchdowns, threw for 2 touchdowns, and returned punts. A freakish athlete, he has an opportunity to be a star in that offense and he might as well get it started against a Tennessee defense that is last in the league in pass defense.
Bust: Antonio Gates, San Diego – In 12 career games against Denver, Gates has only scored 3 touchdowns, the last time in Week 5 of 2007. The Broncos defense as a group has allowed the least amount of yardage to the tight end position (262) and is 2nd in receptions allowed with 28. If you are in standard leagues, you might want to take a look at a better matchup like John Carlson against Minnesota, Brett Celek against Chicago, or better yet, Greg Olsen against Philadelphia.
Defense
Jim Day – http://fantasyfootballwhiz.com
Sleeper: Tennessee Titans – Tennessee is on a 3 game roll that Chris Johnson predicted after their first win, well actually he said they would run the table, but let’s not get ahead of ourselves. It just seems that Vince Young has not only given the offense a shot in the arm it needed, but the defense has benefitted also. In the last 3 games they have 10 sacks and 7 interceptions, 3 of which were returned for touchdowns. Considering Schaub has been sacked 15 times already and is averaging 1 interception a week, Tennessee is the defense you want starting for you this week.
Bust: Baltimore Ravens -The Ravens are just not that dominating defense we used to know anymore. Sure they had a strong performance in week 10, but that was only an exhibition game against Cleveland. This week they get the read deal; Peyton and all the other Colts. Look for the Colts to command the time of play with plenty of work for Addai and Brown against a defense that has yet to score a defensive touchdown, has only two fumble recoveries all year and only 2 interceptions over the last 4 weeks. This is the New & Improved Ravens team…just not on defense.
It’s hard to believe that we are already past week 10 and are now steaming toward week 11 of the NFL season. Some teams are fading fast while others are just counting down the days until they can clinch their division. Some teams have fired head coaches already and others are getting ready to sign their front man to a new extension. And in a season that has had its ups and downs, its highs and lows, two things have remained consistent. One is that the NFL has been downright great yet again. We have the surprises (Sidney Rice) and the busts (Matt Forte), the stories of heart (Michael Oher), and the stories of prima donnas (don’t even get me started). The other consistency is exactly what you’re reading, the Fantasy Football Roundtable. We love sitting down and bringing you our sleepers and busts each week to hopefully help lead your team to victory and even though fantasy playoffs are fast approaching, we’re still ready to help keep that undefeated team of yours with a spotless record and if you haven’t won a game yet, we want to help propel you to that W column. Without further ado, here are this week’s sleepers and busts from some of the best fantasy football minds on the web.
Three Sleepers
Greg Dietz, Right Here
Mark Clayton, WR, Baltimore Ravens: The Ravens haven’t quite had the best go at it lately. After starting the season with a sizzle, the team has kind of flared out the past couple of weeks barely showing signs of life through most of Monday night’s tilt with Cleveland. While their matchup this week against the Colts isn’t exactly ideal, the situation in Indy’s defensive backfield is a very favorable one. With Kelvin Hayden, Marlin Jackson, and Bob Sanders all on the shelf, Tom Brady was able to rip apart that defense last week and while Flacco is not Brady, he will have plenty of opportunities to make big plays downfield. Clayton is a consistent underperformer, but could provide big value to an owner in need of an emergency start on Sunday.
Detroit Lions D/ST: It’s typically not my style to hype up a defense and special teams unit especially if it’s the Lions of all teams. However, let’s take a minute to think about this. This isn’t really as much of a tip of the cap to the Lions defense though. It’s more of an acknowledgment of the fact that the Browns just cannot find the endzone on a regular basis. At this juncture of the fantasy football season, many an owner are playing their defense week-to-week and if that’s the case for you, then the Lions wouldn’t be your worst option in week 11. Disregard the fact that Detroit has given up the most passing yards of any defense all year; they are facing Brady Quinn. Any defense facing the Browns is worth a pickup in a league and the Lions are no different.
Laveranues Coles, WR, Cincinnati Bengals: Coles hasn’t been the best complement to Chad Ochocinco this season and surely hasn’t taken over where TJ Houshmandzadeh left off. However, Coles has had 11 catches in his last two games for 139 yards which is good for almost half of his total catches this year and almost half of his yards. The reason? Chris Henry is now on IR and Carson Palmer has no choice but to get Coles the ball more. This week the Bengals take on the Raiders and that promises to be a promising matchup for Palmer and the entire offense, Coles included. He should be available in most leagues and is definitely worth a start if you need a receiver.
Three Busts
Chet Gresham – http://football.razzball.com
Frank Gore, RB, San Francisco 49ers: The Packers have been playing strong defense all around, especially against the run. They have given up two touchdowns on the ground, and both of those were to Purple Jesus which don’t really count. Frank Gore is a beast, but I expect a down game for him, which of course could be a good game for any of your run of the mill schmos.
Ryan Grant, RB, Green Bay Packers: On the other side of the field the 49ers run defense is also pretty strong. They aren’t unbeatable, but they are tough. They went into Minnesota and held Purple Jesus under 10 fantasy points which is good and slightly sacrilegious. Patrick Willis will keep an eye on Mr. Grant.
Miles Austin, WR, Dallas Cowboys: Defenses would rather Roy Williams beat them that Austin. Washington’s pass defense is good except when the leave Brandon Marshall wide open, but yes, on the average they are good. I see Austin having a tough game.
Quarterbacks
Jason Sarney – http://www.fantasyphenoms.com
Sleeper: Vince Young, Tennessee Titans – I’m a believer now, and with a soft match-up against Houston, I would feel very comfortable starting Young in Week 11. If you aren’t happy with your regular starter’s defensive match-up, Young has had success against Houston, and he knows a thing or two about playing in Texas. If you are gutsy enough to roll with Young on Monday night, think mid-two hundred yards passing, a couple of points with rushing yards and a pair of TDs either through the air or on foot. He’s done that before against the Texans, and I have a feeling he’ll do it again. Maybe even better this time around.
Bust: David Garrard, Jacksonville Jaguars – Usually in these types of pieces I have Garrard as the sleeper, especially staring at a Buffalo Bills match-up. Although a lousy 3-6, and dealing with the mid-season firing of Dick Jauron this week, the Bills have a solid pass defense ranked in the top-10 in the NFL in yards allowed per game, and are second only to the Saints in interceptions with 16. This can be a ground control, running game in Jacksonville and I don’t see a lot of fireworks through the air for Garrard in Week 11. Bench him this week, and go with Vince Young.
Running backs
Matt Schauf – http://www.rapiddraft.com
Sleeper: Jason Snelling, Atlanta Falcons – One can only assume that the Giants spent at least some of the bye trying to figure out their run defense. Although the Chargers didn’t get a running back into the end zone in Week 9, the previous three opponents each saw at least two different backs score. With Michael Turner out, Jerious Norwood iffy and Aaron Stecker still Aaron Stecker, there’s no doubting who has the best chance of running one in for the Falcons this week. The Falcons have gotten at least one score from a running back in every game this season, and Snelling has gone in rushing and receiving. Even with Matt Ryan’s recent struggles, the Carolina game was the first time since Week 3 that they failed to reach 20 points. The team will score, and Snelling will likely be the beneficiary.
Bust: Jamaal Charles, Kansas City Chiefs – Charles finally emerged last week as the primary rusher for the Chiefs, and he has the kind of speed that can create opportunities even in tough matchups. Don’t bet on it happening this weekend, though. Here’s the list of running backs who have scored against Pittsburgh this season: Cedric Benson, Adrian Peterson, Lawrence Vickers (1-yard pass). The list of players who have carried more than five times against the Steelers this year and averaged at least 4 yards is even shorter: Benson, in the first meeting only. Even if you look to receptions, just two opposing backs have caught more than three passes against Pittsburgh. There’s no way to view this as a decent matchup. Keep Charles around for later, but look elsewhere this week.
Wide Receivers
Bryan Fontaine – http://www.rookieblitz.com
Sleeper: Hakeem Nicks, New York Giants - Hakeem Nicks faces a juicy match up against the struggling Falcons as the Giants return to action from their bye week. The Falcons pass defense is ranked 28th in the NFL and they recently made Jake Delhomme look like a viable starting QB again and Steve Smith got his season back on track. Nicks has become a vital part of the Giants passing attack with the disappearance of Hixon and the Mario Manningham struggling with minor injuries. Nicks is a good bet to break off a big play and find the end zone in this contest. He makes a great swing for the fences option if you start him a flex player or WR3 in Week 11.
Bust: Miles Austin, Dallas Cowboys – Miles Austin has struggled as the top wide receiver for the Cowboys the past several weeks. He was completely shut out against the Eagles before his game-winning TD catch in the 4th quarter. Last week the Packers double-covered Austin all day and he only got going in the 4th Quarter with 4 receptions for 20 yards against their prevent defense. Austin has the talent to become a #1 WR eventually, but he must learn how to handle being the focus of the opposing defenses each week. Austin faces another tough match up against Washington in Week 11 as the Redskins own the top pass defense in the NFL allowing only 162.7 passing yards per game. The Redskins will again double cover Austin and shadow Jason Witten with a linebacker limiting the Cowboys passing attack. Temper expectations this week with Austin, he should only be used as a low-end WR3 or flex option.
Tight Ends
Ginny Loveless – http://www.footballdiehards.com
Sleeper: James Casey, Houston Texans – Whether this is the week, James Casey is going to be a big part of the Houston offense going forward. Don’t take my word for it, Coach Gary Kubiak is quoted as saying that Casey will “become a big part of what we’re doing over the next seven games.” Owen Daniels was leading all tight ends in targets, and Casey is coming off of a year at Rice where he caught 111 passes, had 12 receiving touchdowns, ran for 6 touchdowns, threw for 2 touchdowns, and returned punts. A freakish athlete, he has an opportunity to be a star in that offense and he might as well get it started against a Tennessee defense that is last in the league in pass defense.
Bust: Antonio Gates, San Diego Chargers – In 12 career games against Denver, Gates has only scored 3 touchdowns, the last time in Week 5 of 2007. The Broncos defense as a group has allowed the least amount of yardage to the tight end position (262) and is 2nd in receptions allowed with 28. If you are in standard leagues, you might want to take a look at a better matchup like John Carlson against Minnesota, Brett Celek against Chicago, or better yet, Greg Olsen against Philadelphia.
Defense
Jim Day – http://fantasyfootballwhiz.com
Sleeper: Tennessee Titans – Tennessee is on a 3 game roll that Chris Johnson predicted after their first win, well actually he said they would run the table, but let’s not get ahead of ourselves. It just seems that Vince Young has not only given the offense a shot in the arm it needed, but the defense has benefitted also. In the last 3 games they have 10 sacks and 7 interceptions, 3 of which were returned for touchdowns. Considering Schaub has been sacked 15 times already and is averaging 1 interception a week, Tennessee is the defense you want starting for you this week.
Bust: Baltimore Ravens -The Ravens are just not that dominating defense we used to know anymore. Sure they had a strong performance in week 10, but that was only an exhibition game against Cleveland. This week they get the read deal; Peyton and all the other Colts. Look for the Colts to command the time of play with plenty of work for Addai and Brown against a defense that has yet to score a defensive touchdown, has only two fumble recoveries all year and only 2 interceptions over the last 4 weeks. This is the New & Improved Ravens team…just not on defense.
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